| Dynamic Model of International Relations |
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| A dynamic model of Sino-Soviet rapprochement is presented providing statements about the critical indicators made in advance and in falsifiable format. This model predicts the sequence of events that could be expected if Sino-Soviet rapprochement were to occur on the basis of a definition of the concept of interstate amity. The model offers a more systematic way of judging the state of relations between two estranged states than was formerly available. |
| A comparison of commentary on China in the Soviet Party daily Pravda and military daily |
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| A comparison of commentary on China in the Soviet Party daily Pravda and military daily Krasnaia zvezda (Red Star) from April 1977 to the end of 1979--a period of uncertainty in Chinese politics following Mao's death likely to allow any differences in Soviet elite attitudes toward China to surface suggested that the initial hypothesis ofa Party-military dichotomy (moderate Party versus hardline military) may be incorrect. Instead, the difference in articulated attitude in the two papers may result from the distinct roles assigned to each paper, in which domestically-oriented media such as Krasnaia zvezda may reveal Soviet elite perceptions more accurately than internationally-oriented media such as Pravda. |
| A comparison of commentary on China in the Soviet Party daily Pravda and military daily |
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| Although content analysis has been a central method for studying closed communist politics, this review of how the method has been applied reveals that imperfections in the methodology remained unresolved. Quantitative content analysism while useful, is not likely soon to gain sufficient flexibility to make up for the limitations of qualitative analysis. Research should combine both approaches. |