1. A Different Approach to
Export Promotion (with graphs)
This 8 pp. note argues that expanding exports requires fewer initiatives
to liberalize international trade (getting the exchange rate right and
liberalizing the BOP current account) and more initiatives to liberalize
domestic trade and market expansion. The basis of the argument is that
a country's international trade (the sum of imports and exports) rises
along with increases in the size of domestic markets and the amounts of
domestic trade. It doesn't work the other way around. That is initiatives
to expand international trade are "unnatural" and don't expand domestic
trade and the size of domestic markets.
2. Should the Government of
Egypt Try to Bring Informal Firms into the Formal Economy?
This 7 pp. note argues that government initiatives to "formalize" the informal
economy (e.g., through micro credit schemes) will have a harmful effect
on the economy by reducing competition and freedom of entry. What the government
should do is deregulate so that formal economy enterprises can freely buy
inputs from the informal economy. This will raise demand and earnings
of informal enterprises, lower formal economy costs of production and encourage
efficiency-based import substitution and export expansion.
3. Should Each Businessman
Own/Manage Multiple Firms?
This one page note argues that establishing asset markets and making "entry"
easier will increase the number of owners/managers and reduce the number
of firms owned/managed by each businessman. Accomplishing this will markedly
increase economic efficiency or total factor productivity (TFP) in developing
countries.
4. Why The Government of Egypt
(GOE) Shouldn't Borrow from Abroad
This 4 pp. note presents several arguments for why GOE should borrow domestically
rather than borrowing from abroad or guaranteeing the foreign currency
value of domestic debt borrowed by foreigners.